Belief Maintenance: An Integrated Approach to Uncertainty Management

Kathryn B. Laskey, Paul E. Lehner

Belief maintenance represents a unified approach to assumption-based and numerical uncertainty management. A formal equivalence is demonstrated between Shafer-Dempster belief theory and assumption-based truth maintenance extended to incorporate a probability calculus on assumptions. Belief propagation through truth maintenance automatically and correctly accounts for non-independencies among propositions due to shared antecedents. Belief maintenance also incorporates an ability to represent and reason with defaults. The result is a framework for non-monotonic reasoning about the application of a quantitative uncertainty calculus.

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